Expect the unexpected when the Toronto Raptors and Milwaukee Bucks face off in the Eastern Conference Finals. Game 1 between the teams with the NBA’s best records tips at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday from Fiserv Forum. The 2019 NBA Playoffs have provided plenty of drama already, and we’re in for even more excitement after four memorable regular season meetings between these teams. The Bucks won three of four over the Raptors, including both games in Toronto, but the Raptors won in Milwaukee as an underdog. Milwaukee is favored by 6.5 at home in the current Bucks vs. Raptors odds, the same as where the spread opened. The over-under, or total points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 217.5 after opening at 218. Giannis Antetokounmpo and Kawhi Leonard have stepped up their games in the postseason, but each is surrounded by the best some of the deepest supporting casts in the league. That’s why you need to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model is showing before locking in any Game 1 Bucks vs. Raptors picks.

The model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, is crushing its NBA picks. It entered the conference finals in the 2019 NBA Playoffs with a sterling record on its top-rated picks, returning more than $3,000 in profit to anybody following them this season. And it has been particularly red-hot on its A-rated NBA money line picks, entering the conference finals on a strong 85-61 run. Anybody who has followed it is way up.

Now it has locked in on Game 1 of Bucks vs. Raptors. We can tell you it’s leaning under, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see that selection at SportsLine.

The model knows the Bucks didn’t just win more games than any other team this season, they dominated. Their 9.5 average point differential was a whopping 3.1 more than anyone else. That’s helped the Bucks cover the spread in 63.5 percent of their games, far and away the most reliable bet in the NBA. Milwaukee was 27-17-2 against the spread at home this season and 26-12-2 as a favorite at Fiserv.

Most teams had no idea how to slow down Antetokounmpo, and the Raptors fit into that category. In three regular season meetings with Toronto, Antetokounmpo averaged 27 points, 15.3 rebounds, 5.0 assists, 1.0 blocks and 1.7 steals, while shooting 58.5 percent from the field. Milwaukee won and covered three of the four matchups against the Raptors this season.

But just because top-seeded Milwaukee has dominated doesn’t mean it’ll cover the Raptors vs. Bucks spread.

Leonard responded as superstars should in Game 7 of the Sixers vs. Raptors series — by taking over. He took a whopping 39 shots, hitting 16 of them for 41 points, including the miracle buzzer-beater to propel Toronto even further in the NBA Playoffs 2019. While the Bucks had the second-best home record in the NBA, the Raptors won’t be intimidated. They had the third-best road mark in the league, going 26-15. This game will be the fifth time they’ve been between a five- and eight-point underdog, and Toronto covered in the previous four.

For Milwaukee, it will have been a full week since they played a game. Only twice this year have the Bucks had four-plus days off between games – they lost both of them by an average of 10.5 points. Plus, the Raptors won at Milwaukee 123-116 on Jan. 5, surviving a 43-point barrage by Antetokounmpo. Leonard and Pascal Siakam each scored 30 points that game.

So who wins Raptors vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread cashes in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Raptors vs. Bucks spread is a must-back in Game 1, all from the advanced computer model that’s up more than $3,000 on top-rated NBA picks.